Who will be TIME's 2025 Person of the Year?
Who will be TIME's 2025 Person of the Year?
➕
Plus
46
Ṁ4990
Dec 11
50%
Other
23%
Elon Musk
13%
[Any variation of Artificial Intelligence]
8%
Sam Altman
3%
Donald Trump and/or JD Vance
1.1%
Xi Jinping
1.0%
Gavin Newsom

This question resolves to the TIME 2025 Person of The Year. It uses consolidated answers to avoid having to predict who the major party nominees will be, or the exact wording of any abstract/group answers.

If you would like to add a new candidate or consolidated answer to the market, submit them in a comment below. If a comment gets enough support, I'll open the market to submissions so that you can add it and you'll get the unique trader bonuses.

Note that all consolidated answers must be mutually exclusive, so no more specific or general versions of existing options. The goal is to cleanly divide the probabilistic landscape into non-overlapping categories.

If multiple options do end up being true, then those options will resolve to an even split of 100%.

These rules should be considered to be in draft form upon market creation, and I am willing to update them if anyone has suggestions for improvements within the spirit of the market.

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15d

Kendrick Lamar. Like c'mon, he won at the Grammys and then played the Super Bowl in the same week. That's gotta count for something.

bought Ṁ50 Other YES2mo

Elon Musk and Gavin Newsom seem like plausible adds here, imo

4mo

Snoop dogg

Can we have "the president-elect (with or without vp-elect)" as a consolidated option, so that this market doesn't just become another "who will win" market?

1y

@MattLashofSullivan That's a great suggestion! Add it!

@Joshua shoot i misread the question and thought we were talking about 2024 :(

1y

@MattLashofSullivan No it's still a good answer! The newly elected president is sometimes the POTY the year after they are elected. Oh, I'll edit it to "the person elected president in 2024" to b clear to others though.

I'd like to nominate strikers/unions as a group

1y

I'd like to nominate Jerome Powell

1y

I'd like to nominate Pope Francis (or a new pope if one exists)

1y

Add options for:
Trump
Biden

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