Will China control Taiwan in 2040?
➕
Plus
21
Ṁ1492
2040
43%
chance

This question resolves to "YES" if for the whole duration of year 2040 mainland China controls majority of Taiwan territory.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ15 NO

Think they'll control Taiwan before then, but lose it before 2040

Would love to bet on this but such long-term markets tie up capital for a long period :(

@TedSuzman loans system addresses this. Basically you get your mana back after a year

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules