What will the "approval rating" of GPT/OpenAI be among "The Left Wing" of the USA at the end of 2023?
What will the "approval rating" of GPT/OpenAI be among "The Left Wing" of the USA at the end of 2023?
Basic
16
Ṁ268
Jan 1
36
expected

At the end of the year I will look for the closest metric that captures the spirit of this market. Examples would be:

  • A Gallup poll that asks registered Republicans & Democrats whether they approve/disapprove of OpenAI

  • An independent survey that asks people whether they approve/disapprove of GPT specifically, and buckets them by left/right political affiliation

  • OpenAI, GPT, or Sam Altman, or LLM's in general, will all qualify as subject matter (but NOT some other specific major LLM alone)

"Left Wing" will be defined as whatever is best available in the qualifying studies/surveys/polls. Examples include:

  • Registered Democrats

  • Self-identified Democrats

  • "Liberals"

  • "Leftists"

  • Self-identified as being on the left

Basically anything that generally means "left of center."

Or anything else sufficiently similar. Resolves N/A if I can't find anything like that at the end of the year. At the end of the year I will take the latest available qualifying metric, such as a poll published in November 2023, for instance. If there's multiple qualifying metrics published within a reasonably close time period, I will average their results.

#🇺🇸 US Politics
#AI
#New Year's Resolutions 2024
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1y

If it was GPT by itself I think it would have relatively high approval ratings. I think approval ratings generally for a company that was meant to be not for profit and also competes with humans for jobs and will likely have negative hit pieces on them will lower it's approval with the left.

1y

Does “neutral” or “I don’t know what OpenAI is” count towards the non-approval rate or is it excluded?

2y

Manifold in the wild: A Tweet by Lars "Land is a Big Deal" Doucet

What will the "approval rating" of GPT/OpenAI be among "The Left Wing" of the USA at the end of 2023? https://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/what-will-the-approval-rating-of-gp-2b86733bda3a

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