Will Reform win less than 50 seats at the next UK General election?
Basic
25
Ṁ20k
2029
50%
chance

  • Update 2025-01-01 (PST): - If Reform merges with the Tories, the market will be canceled. (AI summary of creator comment)

  • Update 2025-27-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarifications:

    • If the parties merge before the election, the market is N/A.

    • Forming a coalition does not affect the market resolution criteria.

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boughtṀ100NO

@Ridders I've put up some limit orders if you're interested

How does this resolve if they merge with the Tories?

@PontiMin will probably just cancel the market

@LukeShadwell to be clear here for any new traders, this means N/A if the PARTIES merge before the election. It does not mean in the case of a coalition

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