
Context: https://x.com/kanyewest/status/1887837266703417817
Criteria: Resolves to 'Yes' if Kanye West is confirmed by credible reports to have launched his own blockchain token before February 28, 2025, 11:59pm (PST).
Yes holders can forget about this, we are lucky if we don't get into a crypto winter already u.u

“The YZY token was initially set to go for sale on Yeezy's website on Thursday at 6:00 p.m., but the launch was delayed to Friday, according to a team member who asked not to be identified for fear of associating publicly with the project.”
ie the 27th or 28th
@brod someone might be planning a rug pull in this manifold market. I could imagine someone on this site pulling a mana scam involving YE
@JussiVilleHeiskanen idk why there’s so many conspiracies on these markets
my view 1) kanye is actually planning to launch a coin, main uncertainty is timing and
2) insiders knew about it and bet on the polymarket (with fairly incompetent order execution). initially polymarket whales thought they weren’t insiders - just some combo of dumb, creating hype, or pumping and dumping - and bet against them. but largely sold off once articles like this started coming out with somewhat credible evidence
@JussiVilleHeiskanen kinda, i think there’s genuine uncertainty on this question but it should definitely be higher than 20%.
a similar thing happened with the polymarket NFL MVP markets (insider pushed josh allen from 5% to 60% then he won, but bet slowly with way smarter execution)
@brod on Kanye's part the fact that he hasn't overhyped it seems to suggest he is doing it on the up and up
@Predictor betting in this is stupid no matter what unless you are a gambler. There is no insight to be had that can be trusted
@Predictor it's a coinflip, I rather double down a bit to get my avg cost down than flip my position and lose on both sides lol like even if he was serious about the token, why would it be next week? if he was just yesterday throwing out random blockchain names and even suggesting straight to make a L1 PoW (which for sure is not happening in a week)
@kernelious I still think he's just trolling to everyone on polymarket, but I may get washed along too 😂