When will 7x7 Go be solved
When will 7x7 Go be solved
Basic
4
Ṁ861
2029
1%
Was already solved prior to 2024
1%
2024
9%
2025
9%
2026
8%
2027
8%
2028
7%
2029
55%
Other

The 7x7 Go board game appears to be "practically solved", in that we have a good idea of optimal play, but not "solved" in a mathematical sense.

This market resolves based on 7x7 Go with a komi of 9. This is believed to be a draw. An ultraweak solution is sufficient. A solution for any mainstream Go rules is sufficient, eg Tromp-Taylor.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00


Sort by:
1y

I'm confident sure the analysis described here is good and can convince ago player that the correct komi for 7x7 go is 9. https://senseis.xmp.net/?7x7ArticleByJDavies

The thing is, often a move is obviously bad for a go player, or even obviously not the best one. Sometime it may be possible to prove it, like filling an eye or more generally playing inside an already living group. However, in most cases there is no possible way to prove this mathematically other than brute force exploration.

John Tromp has solved 2x2 go : http://tromp.github.io/java/go/twoxtwo.html

I'm quite sure if 3x3 go was solved, it would be somewhere on this site.

1y

@Zardoru yeah I'm 99%+ sure that the correct komi is 9, but a proof may be hard.

1y

Is Tromp-Taylor rule mainstream for this market ?

1y

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana Ṁ and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash S to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
S1.00
→ $1.00
, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules