In case of a war with Iran before 2050, will Saudi Arabia runs out of water for its population?
In case of a war with Iran before 2050, will Saudi Arabia runs out of water for its population?
Basic
8
Ṁ1772050
68%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolve to NAN if there are no war between Saudi Arabia and Iran before 2050.
Running out of water meaning: 1 000 or more people in Saudi Arabia die from lack of water in a single month.
The war assumes an official declaration of war.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
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Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
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