Will Hesai be removed from the list of Chinese Military Companies Operating in the US before the end of February 2025
Basic
3
Ṁ81
Mar 1
30%
chance

LiDAR manufacturer Hesai was recently added to a list of Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States (PDF). Hesai claims that this was due to unethical lobbying (likely by Ouster), and are planning to challenge the inclusion.

This question will resolve to no if Hesai is still on the list on 28 February 2025. If Hesai is removed from the list (even temporarily) any time before 28 Feb 2025 then this question will resolve to yes.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00


Sort by:
sold Ṁ13 NO6mo

FT is reporting that hesai will be removed from the list. Haven't seen an update from the department of defense itself yet.

https://www.ft.com/content/97dff7c2-33e9-4729-a059-968e308cac49

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana Ṁ and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash S to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
S1.00
→ $1.00
, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules