In 2023, the technology does not yet exist to implement self-driving cars everywhere in the US. At some tipping point, communication between self driving cars will be far safer and effective than cars not controlled by this network, making human drivers the primary hazard on the roads.
When will technology, public will, and politics drive legislation that turns against the human driver as a dangerous Luddite, and force the driving aficionados to drive on separate (off-public road) tracks for their own amusement?
Date of resolution set at January 1, 2046.
If current bettors want out, please notify me week of October 15-21 and I will resolve to N/A.
1,000
3.00This would be great and so safe, saving millions of lives every year - and no traffic jams!
But simply the notion of forcing the average American to give up something seems outrageous (*ahem - guns).
Aussie here. Good day, buddy.
@RamsinDinkha Good insight, my friend! You have a good history in managing down guns since your crisis the end of the last century. We have the second amendment, protecting the right to bear arms…but we don’t have the same for driving. Driving is considered a privilege, not a right, and it can be taken away, at the individual level. En masse, though? That’s the issue I raise, here. It may become a public safety issue. Enjoy, please!
@RamsinDinkha Good insight, my friend! You have a good history in managing down guns since your crisis the end of the last century. We have the second amendment, protecting the right to bear arms…but we don’t have the same for driving. Driving is considered a privilege, not a right, and it can be taken away, at the individual level. En masse, though? That’s the issue I raise, here. It may become a public safety issue. Enjoy, please!
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00