Is Jesus real?
Is Jesus real?
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Yes
No
If you haven't thought about it, don't vote impulsively, please have a look at Historicity of Jesus on Wikipedia. Please don't vote if you haven't.
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Please clarify your question.
Is it sufficient to establish the existence of a man named Jesus of Nazareth?
Are the only two events—Jesus being baptized by John the Baptist and being crucified by order of the Roman Prefect Pontius Pilate (who served between 26–36 AD)—enough for your answer?
Or are you asking whether Jesus must have performed a majority of events described in the New Testament?
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00