Will Netanyahu win the next elections in Israel?
Will Netanyahu win the next elections in Israel?
Plus
21
Ṁ6952026
19%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
He needs to be the prime minister of the next government for this to resolve YES.
Elections are supposed to happen at 2026 but this is Israel so it's probably going to be sooner
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
Sure, why not, let's bet with my heart. That man has more political lives than a cat has regular ones. If anyone can pull through that's him.
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
Will Benjamin Netanyahu run for the Israeli Knesset next election?
66% chance
Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2025?
72% chance
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?
86% chance
Will the Likud win the next Israeli election
33% chance
Who will be in the Israeli government following the next elections?
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the leader of the Likud party for the next Israeli legislative elections? 🗳️
82% chance
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2025?
76% chance
What will be the results of Israel's next election?
Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2026?
55% chance
Who will be the Israeli PM after the next election?