Will OpenAI’s AI Video model Sora be available to the public in 2024 or 2025?
Will OpenAI’s AI Video model Sora be available to the public in 2024 or 2025?
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Ṁ13kresolved Dec 10
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YES1D
1W
1M
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The screenshot above is from OpenAI’s page announcing their crazy new AI video model. They say, “If we deploy the model in an OpenAI product,” which makes me wonder if they will deploy it and, if yes, when.
The question resolves yes if the model is available to users of any kind (paid or free). If the model is invite-only it won’t count.
Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): The market will resolve YES when either:
The creator gets access to Sora
People start posting Sora-generated content on Twitter
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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sora is out: https://sora.com/ - will resolve yes once i get access or people start posting stuff on twitter
Does this count if they go straight to Sora 2 without releasing the one they showed in the website examples?
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
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