If Trump wins, will any country enact economic sanctions against the U.S. by the 2026 midterms?
If Trump wins, will any country enact economic sanctions against the U.S. by the 2026 midterms?
Plus
15
Ṁ2352026
55%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Must:
qualify to be listed here
happen between the election and the 2026 midterms
Multiple countries, or super-national entities such as the European Union, enacting sanctions against the U.S. also qualify.
Resolves N/A if Trump doesn't win the 2024 presidential election.
Compare
If Biden wins, will any country enact economic sanctions against the U.S. by the 2026 midterms?N/A
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
73% chance
Who or what will President Trump go after before the end of 2025?
If Trump Wins, will the USA pass more Ukraine aid at least once before the 2026 midterm elections?
55% chance
If Trump is elected, will there be a government shutdown before the 2026 midterms?
52% chance
If Trump wins, will he or any member of his cabinet criticize the Constitution by the 2026 midterms?
84% chance
If Trump wins, will the US suicide rate decrease between his inauguration and the 2026 Midterms?
43% chance
Conditional on Trump/Biden winning the 2024 presidential, will there be a large scale rioting in the US before 2026 ?
If Trump is elected POTUS in 2024, will he be impeached and removed from office by January 31, 2026?
8% chance
Will Trump do a good job before the 2026 midterms?
If Trump wins, will Trump be found guilty of a crime before the end of 2026?
21% chance