Will the alleged proof of P!=NP by Ke Xu and Guangyan Zhou be recognized as valid by 2050?
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Plus
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2050
10%
chance

https://arxiv.org/abs/2302.09512

Resolves YES if by 2050 (or earlier) there emerges a consensus that the proof is correct, or at least a number of prominent complexity theorists describe it as such.

(Things that will be sufficient for a YES: Scott Aaronson or Terry Tao publicly endorses the proof not on April 1st. Wikipedia article for p vs np problem states that it's solved by Ke Xu and Guangyan Zhou and the edit sticks indefinitely. Ke Xu and Guangyan Zhou receive a Fields prize or the Millennium prize.)

Otherwise NO.

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bought Ṁ1,000 NO

@DottedCalculator If you look at the comments in the market you mentioned, there is no unanimity of opinion.

@DZ1990 Basically everyone except you thinks it’s false

@DottedCalculator Sorry, don't hold your hopes that I'll do a quick NO resolution just because there's no chance the proof might be correct. This is specifically about the consensus, we'll have to wait a million years to see.

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