Who will win the 2032 United States presidential election? [ADD RESPONSES]
Who will win the 2032 United States presidential election? [ADD RESPONSES]
Plus
35
Ṁ62932033
81%
8%
Kamala Harris
4%
Nikki Haley
3%
Gavin Newsom
1.9%
Pete Buttigieg
1.2%
Ron DeSantis
This market resolves upon inauguration of the winner of the 2032 United States presidential election.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Hi Secretary @HillaryClinton! There's a button to add an answer right above the list of existing ones.
Except if you meant to add Mayor Pete to your list. Then please don't. I like him.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
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