Will China be the leading producer of green hydrogen in 2030?
Will China be the leading producer of green hydrogen in 2030?
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With the incoming Trump presidency, US efforts to produce green hydrogen will likely decrease (while blue hydrogen production may increase). At the same time, new materials have been developed in China that can boost green hydrogen production efficiency and that appear ready for implementation:
This market resolves YES if by 2030, China is the leading producer of green hydrogen (i.e. produces more green hydrogen by total mass than any other country) and NO otherwise.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
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