Will at least twice as many deportations by U.S. ICE occur in Fiscal Year 2025 compared with Fiscal Year 2024?
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34%
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From the ACX 2025 Prediction Contest:
Will resolve according to the Metaculus resolution:
This question resolves as Yes if the total number of expulsions or removals reported by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) for FY 2025 is at least double the number shown for FY 2024 at the time. If the number reported for FY 2025 is less than double that of FY 2024, this question resolves as No.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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