Will Maersk resume shipping in the Red Sea in 2025?
Will Maersk resume shipping in the Red Sea in 2025?
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𝕊25resolved Feb 13
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From the ACX 2025 Prediction Contest:
I will resolve according to the Metaculus resolution:
This question will resolve as Yes if Maersk announces or credible sources report that shipping through the Red Sea has resumed before January 1, 2026.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
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