Will the US Treasury Series EE Bond rate go up?
Will the US Treasury Series EE Bond rate go up?
Basic
1
Ṁ10May 2
45%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The US Treasury will announce a new Series EE bond rate on May 1 2025.
The current rate is: 2.60%
YES: I think the new fixed rate will be >2.60%
NO: I think the new fixed rate will be <= 2.60%
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
Will the US Treasury Series I Bond fixed rate go up?
48% chance
Will the US Treasury Series I Bond semi-annual inflation rate go up?
50% chance
Will the 10 Year Treasury Yield at closing on 3/31/2025 be 4.5% or higher?
31% chance
Will the 10 Year Treasury Yield at closing on 12/31/2025 be 4% or higher?
75% chance
What will be the highest treasury 10 year yield this year?
63% chance
Will the 30 year US Treasury Bond return more than the S&P 500 in 2024 in percentage terms?
Will 30-year treasury yields go above 7% at any point before 2027?
44% chance
Will the US Fed Funds rate in 10 years be higher than 4%?
47% chance
Will 10-year treasury yields in 2032 be higher than 3.5%?
76% chance