Elon Musk or X Corp. acquires TikTok before April 1st, 2025
Elon Musk or X Corp. acquires TikTok before April 1st, 2025
Basic
16
Ṁ1063Mar 31
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves YES if Elon Musk, X Corp., or any entity majority-owned by Elon Musk acquires TikTok or a controlling stake in TikTok's US operations before April 1st, 2025. Resolution will be based on official announcements from involved companies, regulatory filings, or credible media reports from Reuters, Bloomberg, or Wall Street Journal.
Current context: While Musk has expressed opposition to banning TikTok, he has not made any public bid. A consortium called 'The People's Bid for TikTok' led by US billionaire Frank McCourt is currently pursuing acquisition.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Elon Musk makes a public bid for TikTok before April 2, 2025
10% chance
Will Elon Musk get control over TikTok in the US before 2026?
5% chance
Will Elon Musk buy TikTok?
4% chance
Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before June?
12% chance
As of April 1, 2025, will the following companies or individuals have an ownership stake in TikTok (US)?
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok before 4th April, 2025? [Read description]
19% chance
The People's Bid (McCourt/O'Leary group) acquires TikTok by April 1st 2025
27% chance
Perplexity AI and TikTok U.S. announce a merger agreement by April 16, 2025
8% chance
Who will be the owner of TikTok at the end of 2025?
Who will acquire TikTok’s US operations in 2024?