Elon Musk or X Corp. acquires TikTok before April 1st, 2025
Elon Musk or X Corp. acquires TikTok before April 1st, 2025
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This market resolves YES if Elon Musk, X Corp., or any entity majority-owned by Elon Musk acquires TikTok or a controlling stake in TikTok's US operations before April 1st, 2025. Resolution will be based on official announcements from involved companies, regulatory filings, or credible media reports from Reuters, Bloomberg, or Wall Street Journal.
Current context: While Musk has expressed opposition to banning TikTok, he has not made any public bid. A consortium called 'The People's Bid for TikTok' led by US billionaire Frank McCourt is currently pursuing acquisition.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
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