How many vehicles will Tesla produce in 2026?
How many vehicles will Tesla produce in 2026?
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Since 2013, Tesla has grown revenue on average 50% per year. Their target is to continue growing deliveries at 50% per year until 2030. They are on track to deliver 1.8-2 million vehicles this year.
Assuming they undershoot and only grow by 30% to 40% through 2026, that would give a range of 4 million (1.8 million * 1.3^3
) to 5.5 million (2 million * 1.4^3
) vehicles produced in 2026.
https://www.statista.com/statistics/502208/tesla-quarterly-vehicle-deliveries/
1.3 million in 2022. 935k in 2021. 500k in 2020. 300k in 2019.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
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