Each year, EDO ranks the efficacy of Super Bowl ads using their “Engagement Index”. Last year, “Deadpool & Wolverine” won the Super Bowl, ranking #1 out of all ads.
This market resolves to the movie whose trailer (or teaser) has the best placement in the EDO rankings.
“Trailer” is flexible—any ad that’s clearly promoting a single upcoming movie release will count (but e.g. ads for a streaming service that mention different movies wouldn’t count).
If I am unable to access comparable EDO rankings for any reason (or if no movie trailers are ranked), this resolves N/A.
Last year this was called the “engagement index” but I won’t be picky about the name.
In 2024, three trailers placed in the top 10:
#1. “Deadpool & Wolverine”
#2. “Wicked”
#6. “Twisters”
And in 2023, "The Flash” ranked #1 out of all ads.
Update 2025-02-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification:
The highest ranked trailer is determined by its final position in the EDO rankings.
If the highest ranked trailer is not among the pre-specified choices (as in the case of 'How to Train Your Dragon'), the market will resolve to OTHER.
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3.00🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ25 |
badly chosen options on my part! The highest ranked trailer was How to Train Your Dragon, not even on the list. Resolves to OTHER
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00