Will the New York Times case against OpenAI and Microsoft go to Supreme court?
Will the New York Times case against OpenAI and Microsoft go to Supreme court?
Plus
49
Ṁ1552May 31
38%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
I’d argue this is one of the most important cases of the decade. I don’t know how it could go any other way
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
🧑⚖️ Will The New York Times Win A Lawsuit Against OpenAI & Microsoft?
59% chance
Will the New York Times win a case against OpenAI/Microsoft before the end of 2025?
46% chance
Will the New York Times (NYT) achieve a favorable outcome in its copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?
77% chance
New York Times vs. OpenAI: Will the NYT win the Copyright Lawsuit on any count?
Will The New York Times win its copyright infringement suit against OpenAI and Microsoft?
59% chance
Will the New York Times v. OpenAI suit cause a setback for AI safety?
16% chance
Will the NYT get at least one billion dollars from Microsoft/OpenAI due to their new lawsuit, before 2026?
4% chance
Outcome of New York Times OpenAI lawsuit before 01-01-2025?
Which of these outcomes of the NYT vs. OpenAI lawsuit will occur?
Will the non-fiction writers suing OpenAI and Microsoft obtain class certification?
9% chance