Accountability: Schoof Cabinet - Will the Dutch Cabinet deliver on these goals and promises?
Accountability: Schoof Cabinet - Will the Dutch Cabinet deliver on these goals and promises?
Basic
10
Ṁ455Dec 31
98.2%
The maximum speed on one or more highways has been increased to 130 km/h.
97%
Defence spending amounts to 2% or more of GDP by the end of the cabinet period.
94%
The national debt remains below 60% of GDP throughout the entire cabinet period.
76%
The standard term for naturalization has been extended to 10 years.
73%
Red diesel is again available for farmers, horticulturists, and agricultural contractors.
50%
The independence of the Electoral Council will be strengthened and its mandate expanded to an Electoral Authority.
42%
A constitutional amendment to abolish the ban on constitutional review in Article 120 will be submitted.
37%
New legislation has been implemented that demonstrably tightens asylum policy.
31%
A statutory regulation will be introduced for independent inspectorates, supervisory bodies, and authorities, including their method of enforcement (law on national inspectorates and authorities).
31%
The average EMU balance over the cabinet period is 2.8% of GDP or lower.
31%
A legal maximum has been set for the increase in municipal housing tax (property tax, either in legislation or an agreement with the municipalities).
29%
A constitutional amendment to introduce a constitutional court that reviews laws against the Constitution will be submitted.
15%
The healthcare deductible is 165 euros or lower in 2027.
12%
The legal minimum age for prostitution has been raised to 21 years.
11%
At least 30% of new housing is social housing.
10%
At least 66% of new housing is affordable for middle-income households.
8%
A bill will be introduced, creating a new electoral system for the House of Representatives
4%
An average of 100,000 or more homes are built per year during the cabinet period.
4%
The Netherlands is in the top 5 countries with the best competitive position at the end of the cabinet period.
Resolved
50%The growth in the number of civil servants and the use of consultants in (core) departments in recent years will be more than reversed.
This question assesses the Cabinet's ability to deliver on its key policy objectives and promises. I hope to add more goals letter, for example when the longer government program is published. Feel free to post suggestions!
I will use mostly government sources to resolve the questions. For the question on competitiveness, I will use the Global Competitiveness Report from WEF.
If not otherwise stated, these questions will close on the day the Schoof cabinet leaves office.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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answered7mo
The growth in the number of civil servants and the use of consultants in (core) departments in recent years will be more than reversed.
I decided to remove this question since it was too unclear, might add a question about the Roemer norm later.
answered7mo
New legislation has been implemented that demonstrably tightens asylum policy.
answered7mo
The healthcare deductible is 165 euros or lower in 2027.
If they first manage to set the deductible to 165 and then leave office this will still resolve as YES.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
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