What will be the most valuable company in the world at the end of 2030?
What will be the most valuable company in the world at the end of 2030?
Plus
43
Ṁ92112031
23%
Nvidia
21%
Microsoft
20%
Apple
8%
5%
Alphabet (Google)
4%
Amazon
3%
Tesla
3%
Saudi Aramco
2%
OpenAI
2%
Meta (Facebook)
1.6%
TSMC
1.5%
SpaceX
1.4%
Eli Lilly
1.3%
Berkshire Hathaway
Most valuable by either public market cap or private valuation
If there are any spinoffs after this question was created, I will count the combined value of the companies
Post suggestions for companies to add in the comments
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What if some of these merge with each other? If resulting co. ends up at top would the original options resolve equally? Perhaps proportionally to size, or just the bigger one at time of merger (this seems easiest)?
sold Ṁ94 Nvidia YES
@deagol yeah I will try to resolve proportionally to valuation at the time of the merger, if both companies are public then that information will be easy to get.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
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1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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