Will Zelensky visit the White House before March 5 to discuss and sign the minerals deal?
95
Ṁ11k
Mar 5
9%
chance

Zelensky and Trump have been negotiating a minerals deal giving the U.S. access to Ukraine’s rare earth minerals. While a visit is expected political resistance in Ukraine and uncertainty over U.S. commitments could delay it!

Will Zelensky make the trip and finalize the deal before March 5 or will obstacles push it back?

  • Update 2025-02-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification:

    • Resolution will be determined as of March 5.

    • If by March 5 the minerals deal has been signed, the market will resolve as Yes.

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how does this resolve if the mineral deal is signed after zelensky has left the white house?

@elongatedmuskrat we wait till 5th of march for a resolution

If by 5th he has signed then will resolve it to Yes

bought Ṁ150 YES

That press conference was disgraceful - particularly Vance's outburst which was clearly triggered by the fact that he had no good answer to Zelenskyy's reasonable diplomacy question.

Back to the question: Zelensky left without signing the agreement, but it would be pretty spectacular if he failed to return - buying this market down doesn't seem sensible.

opened a Ṁ500 NO at 61% order

@vitamind the deal is not getting signed, fill my limit orders

opened a Ṁ100 YES at 11% order

@SaviorofPlant @vitamind One of you needs to change your profile picture.

@Shai i will do it for 1000 mana

@vitamind buddy there are only 5 days

@avineth Just to confirm, he has to physically visit AND sign? Just visiting would not be enough to resolve YES?

hey @Quroe, While with the ongoing tensions, even his vist would be yet another news, but for our prediction to resolve YES we would require him sign the minerals deal aswell

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