Will Pope Francis cease to be pope before the end of 2025?
Will Pope Francis cease to be pope before the end of 2025?
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Plus
294
Ṁ50k
2026
83%
chance

This question resolves YES if Pope Francis (Jorge Mario Bergoglio) ceases to be pope of the Roman Catholic Church for any reason before the end of 2025.

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bought Ṁ50 NO14h

PSA to Catholic traders not using aliases: betting here is specific grounds to be excommunicated. The Vatican does lurk on the internet.

4h

@TimothyBandors The article you linked explicitly says that betting on markets like this is NOT grounds for excommunication under canon law.

2d

Why is this so high? Insider information?

bought Ṁ700 YES2d

@JS_81 check the news? He's not well!

@JonathanMannhart he's doing pretty good for a guy his age and only one lung

6d
bought Ṁ10 NO8d

Guessing this drops back down a good chunk if he recovers from the current illness.

bought Ṁ50 NO

Vote NO because I'm a fan of his. I know that's irrational ❤ but we may (must?) have hope.

Does death count as ceasing to be pope?

11mo

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