Will I receive any kind of gene therapy created using CRISPR before I die?
Will I receive any kind of gene therapy created using CRISPR before I die?
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On December 18, the FDA approved a CRISPR gene therapy to treat sickle cell anemia.
Others are in development.
This resolves true if at any point in my life I recieved a therapy like this developed using CRISPR.
Due to my ability to influence the outcome of this market, I will not participate.
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@TheWabiSabi I should also mention , I have no imminent cause of death so it would be sudden if it happened in the next couple decades
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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