What details will be true about Tim Ferriss' next book?
What details will be true about Tim Ferriss' next book?
Basic
2
Ṁ49
2028
50%
The word "tactic" or "tactics" will be part of the title or subtitle
50%
Formal release date in 2025
34%
Number “4” in title or subtitle

On December 28th, 2023, Tim Ferriss revealed that he's working on a new book project, his first in years. Let's use this question to speculate on the details of the book, such as when it will be released, what the book will be about, who his co-author is, etc.

Each answer will resolve per my best judgment. Add your own answers as desired. Supporting evidence is strongly encouraged to be provided in the comments when it comes time for resolution.

End date will be pushed out as needed.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00


Sort by:
1y

@LoganTurner nice answer. I’ll assume that the word “four” (spelled out) would qualify as well unless you confirm otherwise.

@dglid Yes, sorry. "4" or "four" somehow referenced in title or subtitle. ("t4ctics", "fourth", "Balfour", "Fourier", or "free or under restriction" would count, because the reference would be obvious). Thanks for clarifying.

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana Ṁ and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash S to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
S1.00
→ $1.00
, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules