Will aliens make a public debut before 2030?
Will aliens make a public debut before 2030?
➕
Plus
41
Ṁ8985
2030
7%
chance

Most believe that "first contact" has happened already. When will the aliens finally publicly say hello to us on national television?

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Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00


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predictedYES 1y

Manifold requested that I resolve this so I did

predictedNO

All good! You must have left the default market close date on, and then Manifold incorrectly told you to resolve it. I've set the close date for the end of 2029 now!

predictedYES 1y

@Joshua 🙏

predictedNO 1y

@god_is_an_alien What did you solve the fermi paradox or something? Doesn't seem like this should be resolved yet.

predictedNO 1y

@Joshua strongly agree

predictedNO 1y

@Joshua The oddest thing is that OP lost mana here.

Maybe they mislicked? This is a tiny market but just out of principle I am inclined to unresolve or N/A it, which I believe I am authorized to do if the creator does not object.

predictedNO 1y

@Joshua I think you should unresolve the market. That way, it has a chance to properly resolve in 2030 or 2031 as I had been expecting.

predictedNO 1y

@duck_master I've done so.

1y

When a government does a fake first contact/ public debut will you resolve as YES or NO?

predictedYES 1y

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