If acquired, will Greenland’s GDP be >0.05% of US GDP?
If acquired, will Greenland’s GDP be >0.05% of US GDP?
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1
Ṁ202026
41%
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This market predicts Greenland's economic contribution to the US economy in the hypothetical scenario of US acquisition.
Resolution criteria: Calculate Greenland's GDP in 2026 based on official data and compare it to US GDP. Market resolves to YES if Greenland's GDP exceeds 0.05% of US GDP, NO otherwise.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
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