
In 2025, will the pinned comment like/dislike ratio be >2 ?
Basic
2
Ṁ60Dec 31
69%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will the pinned comment in this market ever have a like/dislike ratio that is >2 at any time during 2025 UTC?
I will only make one comment on this market and it will be the only pinned comment throughout 2025.
This market will resolve YES if at any point during 2025 I see the like/dislike ratio of the pinned comment greater than two (2). I will also accept verifiable evidence as enough to resolve YES (perhaps with Archive.org, or some way of using the API).
This market will resolve NO if it has not resolved YES before 2026.
I will not bet in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
Will there be a way to view your total received comment likes on your profile by June 2025?
22% chance
Will YouTube bring back the dislike count by the end of 2025?
13% chance
Will there be a dislike button on Twitter / X before the end of 2025?
37% chance
Will there be a new Most Liked YouTube video by EOY 2025?
45% chance
Will there be a Youtube video with at least 100 million likes before 2030?
42% chance
What will be the highest like count of any ACX post in 2024?
Will the pinned comment get at least 300 likes?
9% chance