Will the reality of DMT worlds be confirmed using prime factorization?
Will the reality of DMT worlds be confirmed using prime factorization?
Plus
12
Ṁ20472100
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves Yes, if the experiment is conducted and its result will be:
1) "The DMT-induced alternate reality is a subjective persistent co-existing reality" OR
2) "The DMT-induced alternate reality is an objective persistent co-existing reality"
In other words, will the "entities" found in DMT worlds be capable of finding the prime factors of large numbers (both if the world is shared or subjective)?
The article detailing the proposed experiment is here.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
bought Ṁ1 YES
Experimental result 2 would be scary as fuck.
predictedNO 1y
@Logaems Ok, of you don't recognize the reference you should read a short story https://slatestarcodex.com/2015/04/21/universal-love-said-the-cactus-person/ about how this is going to go:
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
If the reality of DMT worlds is confirmed, will it be because of prime factorization experiments?
11% chance
Will the prime factors of RSA-1024 be known by 2030?
21% chance
Will a polynomial time factoring algorithm be found by 2035?
9% chance
Will the prime factors of RSA-2048 be known before 2030?
13% chance
Will a projective plane of non-prime-power order be discovered before 2026?
5% chance
Will the largest known prime number be non-Mersenne before 2030?
32% chance
Is Integer Factorization in P?
14% chance
In which decade will the prime factors of RSA-2048 first be known?
Will a non-Mersenne prime become the largest known prime at some point before 2030-01-01?
40% chance
Can integer factorization be solved in polynomial time on a classical computer?
10% chance