Will there be market manipulation in the ACX 2025 prediction tournament?
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Plus
5
Ṁ325
2026
63%
chance

https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31275/substantial-change-in-covid-origin-market-in-2025/

https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31336/democrats-favored-to-win-2028-us-election-on-kalshi/

I will not trade in this market.

This will be subjective. I will do my best to resolve this market.

Resolves YES if either Metaculus question is annulled or removed from the contest

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people are acting like it doesn't cost hundreds of thousands of mana to manipulate that market

@Bayesian ok jackson has 5 million mana to burn, semi has 4 million. do you?

@nikki fair

Those metaculus questions might be removed because they are trash even if no manipulation occurs right? Then this market would resolve yes?

i think there wont be manipulation but that the questions will be removed

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