[Hololive 6th Generation] Which talent will leave Hololive last?
[Hololive 6th Generation] Which talent will leave Hololive last?
Basic
1
Ṁ2102100
34%
La+ Darknesss
16%
Takane Lui
16%
Hakui Koyori
16%
Sakamata Chloe
16%
Kazama Iroha
If a talent is terminated or graduates they will resolve NO.
This market closes when there is only one talent left, which will resolve YES.
Update 2025-19-01 (PST): - Affiliate Status: Talents who remain as affiliates will not trigger a resolution of NO. (AI summary of creator comment)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
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