Will Open AI ‘collapse’ in the next two years? | Manifold

Will Open AI ‘collapse’ in the next two years?

Basic

5

Ṁ95

2026

29%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES if OpenAI ceases to exist in its current form in the next two years.

https://x.com/edzitron/status/1817955630784917548?s=46&t=6nPE5hAfCrWAyKRnBXm4IQ

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Does acquisition at a higher value than today resolve yes?

Yes - this market will be evaluated on case-by-case basis and weighs financial collapse more heavily; however, if acquisition causes Open AI cease to exist in its current form (eg. under MSFT, in its current structure, dissolved or wrapped into new company) -> resolve YES.

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