Next DNC Chair?
Next DNC Chair?
Plus
18
Ṁ29kresolved Feb 1
100%98.7%
Ken Martin
0.1%
Ben Wikler
0.2%
Michael Blake
0.2%
Martin O'Malley
0.2%
Rahm Emanuel
0.2%
Laphonza Butler
0.2%
Phil Murphy
0.2%
Sherrod Brown
0.2%Other
Resolution Criteria:
The market resolves to the individual officially elected or appointed as the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee (DNC) following the current chair’s term.
• The decision must be confirmed by an official announcement from the DNC or widely reported by credible news sources.
Resolution Date & Time: July 31, 2025, at 23:59 PST.
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filled a Ṁ1,377 Ben Wikler YES at 54% order29d
Wikler just received Pelosi's endorsement and word on the street is other big ones to come.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
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