What price will Bitcoin hit by March 31?
What price will Bitcoin hit by March 31?
➕
Plus
39
Ṁ36k
Apr 1
27%
$70,000
11%
$65,000
10%
$110,000
5%
$60,000
4%
$120,000
2%
$130,000
1.7%
$150,000
1%
$200,000
Resolved
YES
$90,000
Resolved
YES
$80,000

Resolution Criteria:

This market will resolve based on the Bitcoin price achieved at any point from market creation to the end of March 2025 (December 17, 2024, 12:00 PT to March 31, 2025, 23:59 PT).

Price Source:

The primary resolution source will be Coinbase (https://www.coinbase.com), using the daily high/low price for Bitcoin (BTC/USD).

Individual Option Resolution:

• Each option will be resolved individually as soon as Bitcoin reaches that price level.

• If Bitcoin hits multiple price levels, multiple options can resolve YES.

• Options will resolve to YES immediately when their price level is reached, rather than waiting for the final resolution date.

Additional Notes:

• The price must be recorded as the high/low of any day, even if briefly achieved.

• Price figures are rounded to the nearest full dollar (e.g., $199,999.50 rounds up to $200,000).

• If Coinbase data becomes unavailable or unreliable, alternative credible sources such as Kraken, Binance, or Coingecko will be used for verification.

• If multiple sources are used, the consensus price will determine the outcome.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00


Sort by:
answered2mo
$80,000
1d

@predyx_markets resolves yes!

1d

@brod Resolved. thanks.

1d

@brod thanks, also resolved. What a busy day resolving here and on Predyx.

bought Ṁ10 $60,000 NO1d

@predyx_markets yeah lot of volatility in crypto recently…

1d

@brod Yeah, love the rollercoaster ride, its actually thrilling. I've been in Bitcoin since '14, for me this just so normal. I'm sure a lot of recent investors are panicking.

answered2mo
$90,000
bought Ṁ232 $90,000 YES1mo

@predyx_markets resolves YES, thanks

2mo
bought Ṁ62 $110,000 YES2mo

@predyx_markets fix in description "at any point from market creation to the end of [March] 2025"

2mo

@deagol Edited. Thanks for catching it. You have a very good eye :)

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana Ṁ and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash S to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
S1.00
→ $1.00
, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules