Will Mark Zuckerberg be revealed to be a cuck by 2030?
Will Mark Zuckerberg be revealed to be a cuck by 2030?
Basic
32
Ṁ13852029
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will Elon Musk's words "Zuck is a cuck" prove prescient?
This question will be resolved by preponderance of evidence of Zuckerberg's wife (or some future partner) being simultaneously involved in a sexual relationship with another man.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
The question and the description are in conflict with each other. Is this about a cuck fetish or merely an open relationship?
i think base-rate of affairs and ENM among tech elite is high, but rate of that being revealed is low
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Will Mark Zuckerberg get divorced in 2025?
6% chance
Will Mark Zuckerburg get divorced in 2025?
9% chance
Will Mark Zuckerberg cease to be CEO of Meta before 2030?
37% chance
Will Mark Zuckerberg be alive through the end of 2090?
34% chance
Will Mark Zuckerberg be alive through the end of 2070?
55% chance
Will Mark Zuckerberg (CEO of Meta) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
9% chance
Will Mark Zuckerberg be alive through the end of 2050?
67% chance
Will Mark Zuckerberg continue as CEO of META through 2030?
62% chance
Will Mark Zuckerberg cease to be CEO of Meta before the end of 2025?
11% chance
Will Mark Zuckerberg cure all human desises till the end of the century?
10% chance