By the year 2030, will it be routine for autonomous robotic systems to perform surgical interventions? | Manifold

By the year 2030, will it be routine for autonomous robotic systems to perform surgical interventions?

By the year 2030, will it be routine for autonomous robotic systems to perform surgical interventions?

Plus

21

Ṁ1032

2030

19%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Autonomous robotic systems - systems that can perform surgical interventions without any human involvement in the actual operation, potentially under human supervision

Routine - covered by common health insurance plans

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#️ Technology

#Technical AI Timelines

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

How is this market going to resolve, if a human has to monitor the surgery and intervene in case something goes wrong, but otherwise the surgery is fully automated?

Or in other words, what "level of driving automation" would this market expect for surgery? 2 (hands off), 3 (eyes off), 4 (mind off), 5 (human completely unneeded)?

I bet on YES expect a level 2 automation: a human is required by law to monitor on the process. Anything more than that feels unrealistic because the legislation in medical matters isn't going to be change that quickly.

@Benx Level 2.

Related questions

Will surgical robots perform more than 75% of a surgical procedure in a human patient, autonomously, before 2030?

Will a robot complete a surgery with no human intervention before 2030?

In 2028, will any major hospital advertise the use of AI as the primary method of diagnosis of human patients?

Fully autonomous (skin to skin) gallbladder surgery will be commonplace by 2074.

Will AI replace doctors by 2050?

Will the FDA approve a fully autonomous robotic surgery device before 2030?

Will there be an FDA approved robot by 2030 that can complete the core portion of a surgery?

By 2026 will there be autonomous AI good enough that I use it?

Will we see autonomous humanoid farmer robots by the end of 2025?

Will an AI doctor replace the role of a human doctor in a first world country before the end of 2025?

Related questions

Will surgical robots perform more than 75% of a surgical procedure in a human patient, autonomously, before 2030?

Will the FDA approve a fully autonomous robotic surgery device before 2030?

Will a robot complete a surgery with no human intervention before 2030?

Will there be an FDA approved robot by 2030 that can complete the core portion of a surgery?

In 2028, will any major hospital advertise the use of AI as the primary method of diagnosis of human patients?

By 2026 will there be autonomous AI good enough that I use it?

Fully autonomous (skin to skin) gallbladder surgery will be commonplace by 2074.

Will we see autonomous humanoid farmer robots by the end of 2025?

Will AI replace doctors by 2050?

Will an AI doctor replace the role of a human doctor in a first world country before the end of 2025?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules