Will Starbase become its own official city by the end of 2025?
Will Starbase become its own official city by the end of 2025?
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resolves yes if it is officially recognized by the state as a city and has cleared all legal hurdles
Update 2024-13-12 (PST): The market will resolve YES if the location becomes an officially recognized city, even if it is given a name other than Starbase. (AI summary of creator comment)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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If the place does get a city status, but gets a different name (not Starbase), will this still resolve yes?
bought Ṁ10 YES from 50% to 55% 2mo
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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