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If Donald Trump is impeached in his second term, what will he be charged with?
Basic
6
Ṁ2062029
72%
Abuse of power
33%
Bribery
28%
Treason
26%
Incitement of insurrection
14%
Obstruction of justice
14%
Perjury
14%
Contempt of Congress
14%
Conspiracy
14%
Negligence in duty
13%
Misappropriation of funds
10%
Obstruction of Congress
YES for any articles of impeachment that are passed by the House of Representatives. N/A for all if none are ever passed.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
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