Will Trump cancel the AI National Security Memorandum? (within first 100 days)
Basic
3
Ṁ22May 1
36%
Memorandum cancelled in full
19%
>50% of word count cancelled (but not all)
20%
<50% of word count cancelled (but some retained)
25%
Memorandum retained in full
Trump cancelled Biden's 2023 AI Executive Order, but the AI National Security Memorandum is for now untouched.
In general, "The National Security Advisor (NSA) shall immediately begin a complete and thorough review of all National Security Memoranda (NSMs) issued from January 20, 2021, through January 20, 2025, for harm to national security, domestic resilience, and American values. No later than 45 days from the date of this order, the NSA shall recommend to the President NSMs for rescission."
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
What will Trump do on Day 1 of being President?
What will happen within Donald Trump's first 100 days? [Add Answers]
Will Artificial Superintelligence be developed in the USA while Donald Trump is president?
37% chance
Will Trump Repeal Biden's Last-Minute AI GPU Export Restrictions in His First 100 Days?
29% chance
If Trump is elected, will the shutdown of the US AI Safety Institute be announced in 2025?
42% chance
Project 2025: If elected, will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act within 3 months?
21% chance
Will Donald Trump attempt to implement mass deportations within his first month in office?
82% chance
If Trump wins, will the US AI Safety Institute receive an increase in Congressional appropriations for FY26?
30% chance
Will Trump broadly maintain the January 2025 AI diffusion export controls?
56% chance
Will Trump's first year of presidency be positive for AI safety?
24% chance