Will Texas pass California in population by 2030?
Will Texas pass California in population by 2030?
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From www.census.gov:
Population Estimates, July 1, 2022, (V2022)
California: 39,029,342
Texas: 30,029,572
Population estimates base, April 1, 2020, (V2022)
California: 39,538,245
Texas: 29,145,428
Population, percent change - April 1, 2020 (estimates base) to July 1, 2022,
California: -1.3%
Texas: 3.0%
Question will resolve based on US Census figures. If at any point before final 2030 census numbers the population of Texas should exceed that of California, the question resolves YES. If the two states' populations are tied, the question resolves NO.
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Related question I've just created: https://manifold.markets/adssx/california-exodus-will-california-l
(I think it's more likely than Texas overtaking California)
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
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Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
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