By 2050, will SCOTUS declare the current civil asset forfeiture system unconstitutional?
By 2050, will SCOTUS declare the current civil asset forfeiture system unconstitutional?
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Specifically the part where cops just take whatever they want based on zero evidence, and then the victim has to prove himself innocent to get the money back. Shifting the burden of proof from the victim to the taker would be sufficient for a yes resolution, and seems blatantly required by the fourth amendment.
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e.g., money is kept in custody until a court date, wherein the police have to make a clear and convincing affirmative case that the money is crime-related, or else the money is automatically returned to its owner. If that's the new requirement, that's sufficient for a yes resolution.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
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and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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