Will SCOTUS rule that 14A doesn't grant citizenship to US-born children of undocumented immigrant parents by 2030?
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This market will resolve to YES if:

  1. The Supreme Court issues a majority opinion that determines the 14th Amendment does not grant citizenship to children born in the United States to unauthorized immigrant parents


The market resolves to NO if any of these occur:

  1. December 31, 2029 passes without such a ruling

  2. The Court issues a majority opinion that determines the 14th Amendment does grant citizenship to such children

Additional points

  • "Unauthorized immigrant parent" refers to any non-U.S. citizen who was present in the United States without legal authorization at the time of their child's birth

  • The ruling must address the constitutional question under the 14th Amendment, not merely statutory matters

  • The determination must be in the Court's majority opinion, not in dicta or separate opinions

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filled a Ṁ4,000 NO at 18% order

Presumably we mean a new decision and we aren't counting United States v Wong Kim Ark that already settled this question in 1898...

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That would be ridiculously against the letter of the Constitution; there's literally no conceivable basis for such a ruling. Which means it's perfectly plausible this Court would do it.

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