Who will be Italy's next Prime Minister?
Who will be Italy's next Prime Minister?
Basic
11
Ṁ14012027
84%
Giorgia Meloni
6%
Elly Schlein
4%
1.9%
Giuseppe Conte
Who will the Prime Minister of the government following the Meloni I (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Meloni_government).
The next parliamentary election will be on September 2027, but it is possible that the Meloni I government falls before then. It is also possible that the next government will still be under the current PM Giorgia Meloni.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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