Will I get a tenure track job in a couple of years?
Will I get a tenure track job in a couple of years?
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I am a new postdoc in mathematics. I feel that I often lack even basic knowledge in fields even closely related to mine. This is primarily because I tend to "wing it" rather than sit down and do homework, memorize proofs, etc.
However, I tend to bristle with indignation when people point out my lack of "polish" in mathematics, and have solved problems that even my advisor couldn't. This I essentially did out of spite, and actually working hard for a change.
Am I good enough to get a tenure track job?
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It largely depends on the particular academic job market that you targeting. My understanding is that even in STEM fields, tenure track positions can be quite tough to obtain regardless of your research experience.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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