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2028 Election
Joshua
Manifold Politics
Premium
Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)
26%
JD Vance (Vice President)
Yes
No
Open options
24%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
7%
Josh Shapiro (Pennsylvania Governor)
Yes
No
Open options
7%
Gavin Newsom (California Governor)
Yes
No
Open options
See 18 more answers
146
Ṁ22k
PREDYX
Premium
2028 US Presidential Election winner?
26%
JD Vance
Yes
No
Open options
25%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
7%
Josh Shapiro
Yes
No
Open options
4%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
Open options
See 34 more answers
506
Ṁ150k
Dylan Slagh
Plus
Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?
26%
JD Vance
Yes
No
Open options
26%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
6%
Josh Shapiro
Yes
No
Open options
5%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
Open options
See 57 more answers
424
Ṁ20k
Dylan Slagh
Plus
Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
19%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
13%
Josh Shapiro
Yes
No
Open options
10%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
Open options
8%
Gretchen Whitmer
Yes
No
Open options
See 76 more answers
1177
Ṁ29k
Dylan Slagh
Plus
Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
49%
JD Vance
Yes
No
Open options
14%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
8%
Donald Trump Jr
Yes
No
Open options
4%
Ron Desantis
Yes
No
Open options
See 33 more answers
460
Ṁ20k
PREDYX
Premium
2028 Democratic nominee?
39%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
14%
Josh Shapiro
Yes
No
Open options
11%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
Open options
9%
Pete Buttigieg
Yes
No
Open options
See 6 more answers
82
Ṁ20k
PREDYX
Premium
2028 Republican nominee?
47%
JD Vance
Yes
No
Open options
28%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
5%
Nikki Haley
Yes
No
Open options
5%
Vivek Ramaswamy
Yes
No
Open options
See 6 more answers
224
Ṁ40k
skibidist
Plus
2028 Democratic candidate is "Trump of the Dems"?
19%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
50
Ṁ1000
Scott Alexander
Plus
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
62%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
2215
Ṁ5540
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