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H5N1
Sinclair Chen
JGY
Premium
Will there be a "large-scale bird flu outbreak" (100+ human confirmed H5N1 cases) in the US by the end of 2025?
69%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
183
á¹€11k
Niko
Premium
How many H5N1 human cases will there be in the USA by end of 2025, according to CDC?
28%
Under 101 cases
Yes
No
Open options
45%
101 - 1000 cases
Yes
No
Open options
8%
1001 - 10,000 cases
Yes
No
Open options
6%
10,001 - 100,000 cases
Yes
No
Open options
See 3 more answers
54
á¹€20k
Ian Philips
Plus
First confirmed human-to-human H5N1 transmission by May 1st 2025
21%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
51
á¹€1000
Savior of Plant
Plus
Will there be documented human-to-human transmission of H5N1 (bird flu) before 2026?
43%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
96
á¹€1000
JZB
Plus
Will there be more than 1,000 confirmed human cases of H5N1 bird flu in the US by the end of 2025?
28%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
142
á¹€1000
chris (strutheo)
Plus
Will there be 10k or more human cases of H5N1 in the US by the end of 2025?
8%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
147
á¹€2000
Ian Philips
Plus
Raw milk sales banned in additional US states due to H5N1 before February 1, 2025
10%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
18
á¹€1000
chris (strutheo)
Basic
Will 1000 herds of livestock be infected by H5N1 by the end of March 2025?
80%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
11
á¹€100
winthefin
Plus
What will be the CDC’s official mortality rate of H5N1 on January 1st, 2026?
3%
>30%
Yes
No
Open options
7%
15-30%
Yes
No
Open options
29%
5-15%
Yes
No
Open options
73%
<5%
Yes
No
Open options
See 1 more answer
20
á¹€1000
Boklam
Basic
Will the US approve an H5N1 vaccine for any group of people before a pandemic starts?
22%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
16
á¹€150
Lily
Basic
IF RFK is HHS Secretary and H5N1 transmits human-to-human in the US, will he try to curtail vaccine production?
51%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
6
á¹€100
Niko
Premium
Will an H5N1 mRNA vaccine be developed and enter "late stage" human trials (or wider release) by July 2025?
47%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
9
á¹€13k
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